Given three identical bags each containing 10 balls, whose colours are as follows:
Red
Blue
Green
Bag I
3
2
5
Bag II
4
3
3
Bag III
5
1
4
A person chooses a bag at random and takes out a ball. If the ball is Red, the probability that it is from bag I is p and if the ball is Green, the probability that it is from bag III is q, then the value of (p1+q1) is:
(A)6
(B)9
(C)7✓ Correct
(D)8
Answer: (C)
Solution
Each bag is equally likely, with prior 31. By Bayes' theorem, p=P(Bag I∣Red)=31(103+104+105)31⋅103=123=41, so p1=4. Likewise q=P(Bag III∣Green)=31(105+103+104)31⋅104=124=31, so q1=3. Therefore p1+q1=7.
JEE Main · 2025 · 02 Apr 2025 · Shift 2 · Single correct option